Luckily for Labor, it is a little hard to break promises when you're not in government. Most promises made during an election are made on a "When I'm Premier" basis.
The only promise I remember either side making on a "If we lose" basis was in relation to members staying on after the election.
The Coalition hammered Labor over whether Keneally and particularly Eric Roozendaal would stay on after the election. During the debate, Keneally committed that they both would:
|Full story from the SMH|
With the promises and guarantees O'Farrell has broken to date, "broken promises" is probably a discussion he would rather avoid anyway.
What will be worth watching will be what happens in the by-election for the seat. Keneally is leaving the Lower House next week, so things will move swiftly.
After the Clarence by-election last year I took a close look and concluded that it gave every side something they could use, and really didn't prove much at all.
Heffron is in a very different situation.These were the numbers after last year's election:
|From this helpful ABC website|
Will the Coalition be able to engineer another 7% before the by-election? It is difficult to imagine how.
The polling numbers are still very similar to the election result. True it is that the recognition of a local member who was also the Premier may have artificially inflated Keneally's vote - but that works both ways when you have a massively unpopular government being given the boot.
Given what has happened in the last few months (not least of all the changes to WorkCover), I'm expecting at least a small move back to Labor in the next NewsPoll.
To me, the seat doesn't look winnable for the Coalition. So this comment from the excellent @PrestonTowers seems pretty spot on:
Not a lot, I'd suggest.